Threat of ‘Brexit’ deals further blow to EU defense hopes

BRUSSELS On the identical day that Europe’s defense ministers rallied behind France’s get in touch with for military support following the Islamist attacks in Paris, Britain refused to back a tiny increase of three million euros ($ three.29 million) in the EU’s collective defense price range.

Barely noticed as France invoked the EU’s mutual help clause for the very first time on Nov. 17, Britain’s resistance to raising the European Defence Agency’s spending budget for a fifth year running underscored how EU defense collaboration continues to unravel just when it is required most, officials and experts say.

Nearly two decades soon after France and Britain, the EU’s primary military powers, launched plans for a common European Security and Defence Policy (CSDP), the continent faces a increasing range of safety threats, from Islamic State militants to a far more assertive, hostile Russia that has seized territory in Ukraine.

But the challenges – which also incorporate the arrival on European shores of about a million migrants in 2015 alone fleeing wars and poverty – have failed to reinvigorate the push for higher EU defense cooperation.

“If I look at the widespread European defense policy, a bunch of chickens would be a a lot more unified combat unit in contrast,” European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker stated when asked about EU defense during a visit to Germany in October.

France’s surprise invocation of article 42.7 of the European Union’s Lisbon Treaty requiring solidarity from other member states following the killing of 130 people in Paris on Nov. 13 by Islamic State militants proved a largely symbolic gesture that did not involve EU defense institutions or missions.

The reasons for the steady waning of EU defense hopes are several: deep-rooted British scepticism about European integration the effect of international economic crisis and the woes of the euro zone on national budgets public trauma more than the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan and the rise of anti-EU parties across Europe.

Added to that mix now is the risk of “Brexit”. Britain’s increasingly eurosceptic Conservative government has promised an in/out referendum by the end of 2017 following renegotiating the terms of the country’s membership.

“British Prime Minister David Cameron does not want to give any impression of joining a euro-army ahead of the referendum on Britain’s EU membership,” said Daniel Koehane at the Centre for Safety Studies in Zurich.

That aids clarify why Britain blocked an boost to the European Defence Agency’s 2016 spending budget, which requirements unanimity, maintaining it at 30.5 million euros and marking a 15 % fall in genuine terms because 2010. Nevertheless, a number of EU countries may improve their personal contributions to the agency unilaterally.

MOMENTUM STALLS

British scepticism – the flip side of its commitment to the U.S.-led NATO alliance – has extended hampered EU defense plans, though it was then-prime minister Tony Blair who helped launch the CSDP with France’s Jacques Chirac in 1998.

The aim was to complement NATO by developing up capacity in Europe, long heavily reliant for its defense on the United States, which accounts for 70 percent of all NATO spending.

In the early years the Anglo-French initiative produced headway, prompting the creation of a European Defence Agency that coordinates military coaching and the improvement of gear.

Rapidly deployable forces identified as ‘EU Battlegroups’ have been set up, as nicely as new ministerial and military structures for decision-generating on concerns such as financial sanctions and deploying EU peacekeepers internationally.

But the momentum quickly stalled. EU Battlegroups, operational since 2007, have however to be employed. No huge new European military projects are underway aside from collaboration on drones.

Governments work in isolation. The EU’s particular adviser on defense, Michel Barnier, cites seven separate national frigate applications and 23 various systems of light armored cars.

Defence spending was a casualty of the 2008/2009 worldwide financial crisis and continued to fall among NATO countries in true terms in 2015 regardless of last year’s pledge to increase spending to two percent of financial output by 2024. A majority of EU states are also in the NATO alliance.

The Ukraine crisis has helped halt the budget cuts. Six of the 28 NATO allies elevated spending in 2014 and IHS Jane’s estimates that over 2015-2019 $ 50 billion will be added to Western Europe’s defense expenditure, mostly in France, Germany and Britain.

But apart from the United States only four NATO allies – all EU members – at present hit the 2 % target: Britain, Poland, Greece and Estonia.

Frustration

The EU is involved in 17 peacekeeping and training missions in Africa and the Middle East and has advisory teams in Ukraine, but offered the bloc’s economic might and the scale of its safety challenges such achievements appear to many frustratingly modest.

“I do not recognize why national interests continue to undermine our European safety,” Dutch Defence Minister Jeanine Hennes told a recent conference. “We have to safeguard our sovereignty by way of military means by cooperating.”

There is nevertheless collaboration at the European Defence Agency on air-to-air refueling, cyber defense, anti-tank weapons, health-related evacuation applications, governmental satellite communication and remotely piloted aircraft systems, or drones.

Italy, France and Germany hope to have a European drone by 2025 to reduce reliance on U.S. and Israeli technology.

But nothing will modify substantially with out a political commitment to defense, officials and professionals say.

“If Britain votes to remain in the EU, that could improve things,” stated Nick Witney, a former European Defence Agency chief now at the European Council on Foreign Relations.

“We need to have a modify in the political winds.”

(Further reporting by Tom Korkemeier Editing by Gareth Jones)

Agen Sabung Ayam