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Agen Sabung Ayam – In Argentina, a Quiet Data Cruncher Aims to Bring Sense to a Raucous Election

Agen Sabung Ayam

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Andy Tow, who says he has an â??addictionâ? to statistics, at the National Congress. Argentines will elect a president on Sunday. Credit Anibal Greco

BUENOS AIRES â?? With his fusty corduroy blazer, diffident mien and unpolished web site, Andy Tow, an anonymous civil servant with a flair for data crunching, is emerging as an unlikely rock star of Argentinaâ??s election season.

Mr. Tow, 45, spends his days assisting a congressman, frequently performing mundane tasks like answering phones or booking flights. But in the evenings, he morphs into a prodigious statistician who tells the complicated stories of domestic politics by turning raw data into online graphics. This uncommon pursuit has been winning Mr. Tow influence â?? and some ire â?? amongst scholars, pundits and, now, even voters.

â??Itâ??s an addiction I do it all for artistic really like,â? he stated more than lunch at a coffee shop opposite the congressional palace right here. â??It utilised to be more underground. I in no way gave it significantly publicity. Iâ??m just mad about computing and numbers.â?

As Argentines muse on a tight race for the presidency just before they go to the polls for a runoff election on Sunday, Mr. Towâ??s passions and, much more lately, his Twitter account are catapulting him beyond his usual niche audience to a wider public.

â??I like the way he uses scientific criteria to analyze the progress of the election race,â? stated Lisardo Versellino, 56, an administrative worker who found Mr. Tow on Twitter. â??It contrasts with the mainstream news media, which trivializes and simplifies the dispute for power.â?

Numerous Argentines are now turning to Mr. Tow and his digital maps demonstrating voting trends for assist deciphering the political landscape. Peers have described his operate as â??titanic,â? and fan mail litters his inbox.

â??Itâ??s like heâ??s clearing a path by means of the election seasonâ??s din of opinions,â? mentioned Jimena Cufré, 23, a university student who 1st discovered of Mr. Tow when she saw him on television.

Mr. Towâ??s rise to prominence reflects paradigm shifts more than recent years in political science and other fields, like business, exactly where demand has boomed for the harnessing of computersâ?? expanding sophistication to choose out trends from abundant data.

In Argentina, however, political scientists have lagged in this respect. There is a preference among scholars here for philosophical discussion, according to Ernesto F. Calvo, an Argentine politics professor at the University of Maryland.

â??Thereâ??s an massive deficit of systematic statistical evaluation in Argentina,â? Mr. Calvo said. â??Heâ??s the only one particular filling the gap.â?

This recognition is a lengthy way from the prolonged lull Mr. Tow skilled about 13 years ago when he was sent to operate assisting an idle congressional committee that investigated money outflows from Argentina.

â??I spent several hours alone in the office waiting for anything to take place,â? he mentioned. â??I wasnâ??t going to waste my time or watch pornography when I could be carrying out something valuable.â?

By 2008, Mr. Tow said, a map he made, which depicted patterns of road blockades by farmers protesting moves to raise taxes, was being cited by the local news media. He would later support develop a common internet site revealing how Argentinaâ??s federal lawmakers have voted on a variety of concerns. Mr. Tow also worked for far more than a decade unraveling and visualizing voting data as he compiled a so-referred to as electoral atlas â?? but it received only muted applause.

These days, Mr. Tow has no problems attracting consideration to his operate. His graphics have grow to be so extremely regarded this election season that when he restricted access to his websiteâ??s archive this year, he received 4,000 emails requesting the password. And a political news internet site lately paid him far more than $ 2,000 to syndicate his charts and maps.

The dynamics of the presidential election campaign, including President Cristina Fernández de Kirchnerâ??s stepping down since of term limits and the oppositionâ??s momentum, have also fueled wide interest in his work.

His success has come even as statisticians here have been stymied by faulty official information, particularly unreliable financial information like inflation measures for which Argentina was scolded by the International Monetary Fund, and unavailable poverty estimates.

This month, Mr. Tow started an election simulator, which permits Argentines to permute the distribution of the far more than seven million swing votes that Daniel Scioli, the candidate for Mrs. Kirchnerâ??s governing party, or Mauricio Macri, who is top the opposition, need to win in the runoff.

Some users of the simulator have identified it captivating adequate that one well-liked pundit, Juan Pablo Varsky, equated it to an addictive drug.

Like numerous other posts on Mr. Towâ??s website, the concept came to him whilst he was loafing about at residence.

â??I designed the simulator since I was bored on Saturday night,â? stated Mr. Tow, a politics graduate and self-taught laptop programmer.

He mentioned he was inspired by a equivalent tool that was common in the course of Franceâ??s runoff election in 2012. â??I remembered that and thought, â??Why donâ??t we attempt a single now?â?? â? he mentioned.

But it was a poll aggregator, known as La Borra, that thrust Mr. Tow into the spotlight. He started it as Argentines obsessively debated whether or not Mr. Scioli would beat Mr. Macri by a huge adequate margin in a first round of elections, held final month, to avoid the runoff.

Mr. Tow, whose full initial name is Andrés, collated the results of more than 20 pollsters, regularly updating La Borra as new polls had been released. The aggregator rapidly became well-known amongst politics buffs and economists.

In the previous, Mr. Tow, a timid man, had relished calculating algorithms and researching mapping systems from the obscurity of his living space, accompanied by his cat.

When he did promote his operate, it was among a devoted following of bloggers or at neighborhood meetings of data journalists and computer programmers.

Nevertheless, public acclaim progressively seduced Mr. Tow. Soon sufficient, he was appearing much more regularly on television and radio applications.

â??Unmasking the dataâ? is the point that drives Mr. Tow, he said.

â??But thereâ??s also a little bit of going following glory, prestige, fame and common approval.â?

The pinnacle came last month when Horacio Verbitsky, one particular of Argentinaâ??s most influential journalists, gave lengthy mention of Mr. Tow and La Borra in